Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LINK prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-19 1.448520e-04 0.000166 0.000188 0.000213 0.000239 0.000266 0.000297
2025-01-26 1.023966e-04 0.000133 0.000168 0.000209 0.000256 0.000307 0.000367
2025-02-02 7.961624e-05 0.000115 0.000156 0.000208 0.000269 0.000338 0.000420
2025-02-09 6.230771e-05 0.000099 0.000145 0.000204 0.000277 0.000360 0.000463
2025-02-16 5.217642e-05 0.000091 0.000141 0.000208 0.000292 0.000390 0.000513
2025-02-23 4.364957e-05 0.000083 0.000137 0.000210 0.000304 0.000417 0.000559
2025-03-02 3.581658e-05 0.000075 0.000131 0.000209 0.000312 0.000438 0.000598
2025-03-09 3.258285e-05 0.000073 0.000133 0.000219 0.000334 0.000475 0.000657
2025-03-16 2.714261e-05 0.000067 0.000129 0.000220 0.000343 0.000497 0.000697
2025-03-23 2.345333e-05 0.000063 0.000127 0.000224 0.000356 0.000523 0.000743
2025-03-30 1.938844e-05 0.000058 0.000123 0.000224 0.000364 0.000543 0.000779
2025-04-06 1.493084e-05 0.000051 0.000115 0.000218 0.000364 0.000552 0.000804
2025-04-13 1.015358e-05 0.000043 0.000105 0.000208 0.000358 0.000554 0.000820
2025-04-20 7.288385e-06 0.000038 0.000099 0.000204 0.000361 0.000570 0.000854
2025-04-27 5.259942e-06 0.000033 0.000095 0.000203 0.000368 0.000589 0.000892
2025-05-04 3.487730e-06 0.000029 0.000089 0.000200 0.000370 0.000602 0.000923
2025-05-11 2.625574e-06 0.000027 0.000088 0.000203 0.000383 0.000629 0.000972
2025-05-18 1.863376e-06 0.000025 0.000087 0.000205 0.000393 0.000653 0.001017
2025-05-25 1.165159e-06 0.000022 0.000083 0.000205 0.000400 0.000672 0.001055
2025-06-01 1.005963e-06 0.000023 0.000086 0.000215 0.000422 0.000712 0.001122
2025-06-08 5.916655e-07 0.000020 0.000084 0.000215 0.000429 0.000732 0.001162
2025-06-15 3.750726e-07 0.000019 0.000084 0.000219 0.000442 0.000760 0.001213
2025-06-22 1.695276e-07 0.000017 0.000081 0.000219 0.000449 0.000779 0.001251